Week 4

RECAP:


Proline:
Last week 0/3
Season to Date: 22% correct - Avg. win = 2.27 - Expected return - 0.50


All of my picks last week were longshots, Green Bay was never really in it, but the two tie games were both close. The Carolina-Minnesota game was all Panthers in the first half until Minnesota ran back a fumble to tie it at half, then Carolina got shut down and that was that. The Houston-Tennessee game could easily have been a tie if Houston (*cough* Andre Johnson *cough*) didn't choke and come away empty handed on two first and goal's from inside the five.


Cent Sports:
Last week: 1/3
Season to date: 2/8
Current Bankroll: $2.77 (-$0.21)
http://www.centsports.com/?opcode=212889
Sign up and see if you can out bet me if you dare.


What can i say, Chicago blew another late lead, letting Brian Griese somehow run an efficient two-minute drill; and Denver blew an early 21-3 lead before barely hanging on late. Fortuntely Cinci's offense came alive as i expected so i was able to cut my losses this week.

THE GOODS:
Home team in Bold

Proline


Green Bay over Tampa Bay (2.55)
Green Bay gets some crazy good odds once again as Tampa Bay should not be favored in this battle of the Bay's. Griese looked decent last week, but Rodgers is the better QB and it should show this weekend with Green Bay improving to 3-1.

Arizona over New York Jets (2.75)
The Cardinals have looked sharp with Warner at the helm and word on the street is that Zona stayed on the east coast all week to avoid any sort of jet lag from travelling. That combined with the Jets' shortened week from the monday nighter should tip this one is Arizona's favor.

Minnesota tie Tennesee (3.40)
Neither team is starting a QB under the age of 35 and both teams have great run defenses. This should be a low scoring affair and hopefully will be within 3 points.

Cent Sports

Houston (+7) over Jacksonville (-105) $0.35
Jacksonville avoided going to 0-3 last week against the Colts but 7.5 points is still too much to give a team that hasn't proven they can win in a tight divisional matchup against a Texans team that is still underrated in my opinion.


Cincinnati (-3.5) over Cleveland (-105) $0.60
Cincinnati finally showed they can still have some life left last week against the Giants, meanwhile Cleveland looks to be struggling as much as ever. If the Bengals offense can keep it up, 3.5 points should not be problem for them to cover at home.

Buffalo (-8.5) over St. Louis (-110) $0.45
Three words, Trent Green Concussed.