Tuesday, October 7, 2008

Week 6

RECAP:

Proline:
Last week: 2/3
Season to date: 4/15(27% correct) - Avg. win = 2.45 - Expected return = 0.66

Chicago annihilated Detroit and my upset special came through as Washington battled back from an early 14 point deficit to beat the Eagles. The Boys on PTI were touting Washington as the #2 best team in the NFL, I don't think i would go that far, but I don't think you'll see them getting 3.45 odds anymore. They had an insanely tough first 5 games to the season and game out a remarkable 4-1.

Cent Sports:
Last week 1/2
Season to date: 5/13
Current Bankroll: $2.52 (-$0.30) (I was at $3.07 until I lost 55 cents on stupid baseball)http://www.centsports.com/?opcode=212889
Sign up and see if you can out bet me if you dare.

Cinci easily covered, and Batimore would have if not for a late drive that was aided by a bogus roughing the passer penatly. The washington game was headed for the over but the game was scoreless in the last 7 minutes. Overall a good week of picks after stumbling out the gates.

THE GOODS:
Home team in Bold.
The odds are exceptional this week so heres some bonus picks!

Proline:
Miami over Houston (3.05) *Lock of the week*
Miami has knocked off San Diego and New England in convincing fashion the past two games, Houston is 0-4... how does this make sense?

Arizona over Dallas (3.45)
Zona' is a much better team at home and Dallas hasn't looked like the class of the NFC like many thought they would be. These odds are too good to pass up in what looks to be a shootout.

New York Giants over Cleveland (1.35)
The Giants are getting respectable odds once again against a struggling Cleveland team. The Giants are undefeated and still getting no respect. They have won with authority each week and this should be no exception.

Cent Sports:
St. Louis (+14) over Washington (-115) - $0.35
Washington is coming off two impressive victories and i just feel like this will be an off week for them.

Baltimore(+4) over Indianapolis (-110) - $0.45
Baltimore could very easily be the better team and are getting 4 points, even if they lose it should be within 3 against a struggling Colts team.

Green Bay (+3) over Seattle (-140) - $0.35
Green Bay has been slumping but there's nothing like the inept Seahawks to break that streak. Rodgers shoulder should be good to go and Green Bay should take this one.

New England (+5) over San Diego (-110) - $0.25
San Diego just lost a very unimpressive game againts the Dolphins and 5 points is too much to give to the Patriots regardless of whether Brady is out.

Chicago (-3) over Atlanta (-110) - $0.30
Both teams are 3-2 but the Falcons victories have come over teams like Detroit and Kansas City, whereas Chicago has face much stiffer competition. The Bears should be able to shut down Ryand and keep Turner in check resulting in a rather easy victory.

Carolina (+1.5) over Tampa Bay (-110) - $0.25
Carolina is simply the better team in my opinion. This divisional game should be close but Delhomme has Smith back and he should be able to outplay Garcia who is without Galloway.

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